Video & Transcript Research : 'predictive models'
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ND
North Dakota 2026 1st Special Session
Special Education Funding Committee May 6th, 2026
Special Education Funding Committee
Transcript Highlights:
- Or alternatively, you know, I know a lot of us like the Ohio model and a couple other models where they
- With a reimbursement-type model. Senator Bickettel. Thank you, Mr.
- Why don't we just come up with a simple model? I mean, the model we have right now ain't working.
- You know, how do we get the more inclusive model?
- So I've been looking at that model and thinking about what that was.
Summary:
The committee met with a quorum, approved the March 4, 2026 minutes, and received a lengthy Department of Public Instruction presentation from Stanley Schauer Jr. on North Dakota student performance data in math and ELA, with comparisons between students with disabilities and students without disabilities. Schauer explained the assessment systems used, the 1% alternate assessment cap for students with the most significant cognitive disabilities, the absence of 2019-20 data due to the pandemic, and how state standards are set by North Dakota educators. Members asked about cohort trends, the role of alternate assessments, grade-level patterns, and whether the state should focus more on reducing the novice category than on moving students from approaching to proficient. Schauer also discussed the new NDA Plus assessment, the state’s planned growth model, and the possibility of future breakdowns by disability category or by schools using science-of-math approaches. Special education educators testified that students with disabilities continued to receive services during COVID because of FAPE obligations, which likely helped limit learning loss, and emphasized that IEP teams focus on individual growth rather than only proficiency buckets.
Committee members then shifted to special education funding and possible funding models. Brandon Bombach of Grand Forks Public Schools presented on the state aid formula, focusing on the special education weighting factor and arguing that the current formula does not adequately respond to growing student needs because it counts enrollment but does not adjust when the number of students with IEPs rises. He used examples to show that a district can have the same enrollment and receive the same weighting even if the number of students needing services increases. Members discussed whether the formula should be tied more closely to actual need and accountability, and the chair indicated that the committee would continue gathering data and ideas for a later meeting.
US
US Federal 2025-2026 Regular Session
US House Floor Proceedings (Thursday, December 18, 2025)
US Federal House Floor Meeting
Transcript Highlights:
- The purpose of process is to create a predictable sequence of steps to achieve an outcome consistent
- process is to create a predictable process is to create a predictable sequence<00:45:59.520>
- It's time for some predictability, consistency, and efficiency in government decisions. Mr.
- It focuses on real impacts, ends endless delays, and brings predictability back to permitting.
- promote a more efficient and predictable promote a more efficient and predictable permitting<01:
MO
Missouri 2026 Regular Session
Rules - Legislative May 12th, 2026
Transcript Highlights:
- much wiser than me said, and I think this is where Representative Fowler was going, the best way to predict
- They crave certainty, predictability. That's what this offers. Right now in St.
- You know, my client is mostly concerned about having a statewide strategy that creates predictability
Summary:
The Legislative Rules Committee met with a quorum and held a public hearing on Senate Bill 1694, along with related Senate Bill 1688, both described by the sponsor and supporters as a modernization and expansion of the Missouri Downtown and Rural Economic Stimulus Act (MODESA). Senator Steve Roberts said the bills would broaden redevelopment tools, extend timelines, expand residential incentives, and help projects in St. Louis and other communities without using general revenue. Supporters from the Cordish Companies, the City of Kansas City, Greater St. Louis Inc., Historic Revitalization for Missouri, and BioSTL emphasized past redevelopment successes, including Power & Light, Ballpark Village, and potential reuse of large vacant buildings such as the AT&T Tower and Railway Exchange Building. They argued the proposal would leverage private investment, create jobs, and provide a predictable statewide framework. One witness opposed the bill, arguing it would create more bureaucracy, rely on tax abatements and TIF, and burden taxpayers. Committee members asked questions about the bill’s scope, rural component, fiscal note, and specific redevelopment targets, and the public hearing then closed.
After a brief stand-at-ease, the committee entered executive session and adopted a substitute for the combined Senate Bill 1694/1688 package, then voted do pass on the House Committee Substitute for Senate Substitute for Senate Committee Substitute for Senate Bills 1694 and 1688 by a vote of 10-0. The committee also considered Senate Bill 1586, a solid waste measure, and voted do pass Senate Substitute Number 2 for Senate Committee Substitute for Senate Bill 1586 by a vote of 8-2. Finally, the committee took up Senate Bill 889, a cleanup bill removing obsolete statutes, and voted do pass the House Committee Substitute for Senate Substitute for Senate Bill 889 by a vote of 8-0 with two members voting present. The meeting then adjourned.
FL
Transcript Highlights:
- We have some very smart people that predict our outlook for the years down the road.
- If that's what the experts predict, we may not obligate that $750 million annually.
- think it's prudent that we position ourselves prior to an emergency to at least be able, and the prediction
Summary:
The Appropriations Committee heard three measures focused on state finances. SB 1906 by Senator Brodeur would add a ninth element to the state debt reduction strategy report and create a program to transfer $250 million annually from the General Revenue Fund to accelerate retirement of outstanding state debt, while exempting the Department of Transportation and Florida Turnpike Enterprise. Members questioned the fiscal tradeoffs and flexibility, but the bill was supported in debate and reported favorably.
The committee then considered SJR 1908 by Chair Hooper, which would amend the Constitution to raise the Budget Stabilization Fund cap from 10% to 25% of general revenue collections, require $750 million annual deposits until the cap is reached, and allow withdrawals for critical state needs by separate bill with a two-thirds vote, while keeping existing rules for emergencies and revenue shortfalls. Testimony and debate centered on whether Florida already has sufficient reserves, how “critical state need” would be defined, and whether the new requirement would reduce flexibility during recessions or federal funding cuts. Despite opposition from advocacy groups and several senators, the resolution was reported favorably.
Finally, the committee took up HB 7031 as the vehicle for the tax package and adopted a delete-everything amendment to place it in the proper posture for conference. As amended, the bill was described as reducing the state sales tax by 0.75%, lowering the commercial rent tax from 2% to 1.25%, eliminating the business rent tax, and creating permanent sales tax exemptions while preserving sales tax holidays. The amended bill was reported favorably, and the committee then adjourned.
NH
Transcript Highlights:
- And it's been very appreciated that our fluctuating enrollments are not predictable.
- And it's been very appreciated that our fluctuating enrollments are not predictable.
- And it's been very appreciated that our fluctuating enrollments are not predictable.
- And it's been very appreciated that our fluctuating enrollments are not predictable.
- And it's been very appreciated that our fluctuating enrollments are not predictable.
MN
Minnesota 2025-2026 Regular Session
Committee on Environment, Climate and Legacy - 04/07/26
Environment, Climate, and Legacy
Transcript Highlights:
- So, my first question is: wouldn't a polluter-pays model be more fair and more effective than this model
- A model was used for that analysis called the Woodstock model.
- And we've heard a lot about the model and how scientific it is and how good this model is because it
- Initially, there were some modeling done incorporating desired fish and wildlife inputs into the model
- Now, getting back to the um to the model Now, getting back to the um to the model and<01:13:00.200
NH
New Hampshire 2026 Regular Session
House Finance Division III (02/13/2026)
Transcript Highlights:
- c><00:27:23.679>
happened <00:27:23.919>to <00:27:24.000>be <00:27:25.120>predict - <00:27:25.440>
a and it they happened to be predict a and it they happened to be predict a - a model here that accomplishes<01:13:06.000>
what <01:13:06.239>we're <01:13:06.400> - And just changing and adding language again that is basically based on our model, our reunification model
- Our reunification model that we at all times want to be working with the parents when it comes to all
Summary:
The House Finance Division 3 work session opened on February 13, 2026, with the chair outlining the committee’s advisory role and the possible motions available under House Rule 45. The committee then took up House Bill 1569, concerning the Philbrook Center/state hospital campus property, and heard extensive testimony from Commissioner Charlie Arlinghouse. He explained that the property is currently one parcel and state law prevents subdivision unless a separate Senate bill, identified as SB 572, is enacted to fix the legal issue. He said HB 2 directed the sale of the property but did not address subdivision or marketing details, and he characterized the $5 million revenue estimate as speculative. He also said the state would first offer the property to the city or county, which he viewed as the most practical buyer and potential partner for any subdivision work.
Members asked whether the building should be retained for transitional housing or sold, what would happen after July 1, 2026, and whether other vacant state buildings could absorb the current occupants. Arlinghouse said there are no firm plans for the building if it is not sold, and that HHS would remain until a sale occurs. He described the building as not especially historic or attractive and noted plumbing issues, while also acknowledging HHS’s view that it could serve as transitional housing. He said there is no reserve stock of office space, that the state already rents substantial office space in Concord, and that some nearby state buildings are either under renovation or only partially usable. He also said the Executive Council would have to approve any sale and that moving costs are usually not budgeted in advance, leaving the using agency to absorb them.
Several members raised concerns about relying on asset sales to balance the budget, citing past examples where projected real estate revenue did not materialize on schedule. Arlinghouse agreed that one-time revenue should generally be used for one-time expenses, but said the state sometimes has legitimate reasons to sell assets and that such decisions depend on the state’s needs. He estimated the state rents roughly 100,000 square feet of office space in Concord at about $25 per square foot, and said he would provide a more exact figure later. In response to a question about whether the state should include a right of first refusal if the property is later resold, he said that idea had not been considered but could make sense, especially if the buyer is the city or county. No votes were taken during this portion of the work session.
NH
New Hampshire 2026 Regular Session
Senate Executive Departments and Administration (01/14/2026)
Executive Departments and Administration
Transcript Highlights:
- Then to look at various ownership and leasing models, and so on and so forth, to operate and maintain
- Then to look at various ownership and leasing models, and so on and so forth, to operate and maintain
- We do have housing at some of our NHTI and Lakes Region Community College existing different models,
- This is what it uses to create predictive responses.
- to create predictive responses. to create predictive responses.
NH
New Hampshire 2026 Regular Session
House Municipal and County Government (01/30/2026)
Municipal and County Government
Transcript Highlights:
- It restores transparency and predictability to property taxation.
- > to transparency and predictability to transparency and predictability to property<00:51:54.559>
- She asked what the consequences of changing to this model would be.
- and 50% of the market value model, as is called for in this bill.
- >
for <01:51:18.239>in market value model as is called for in market value model as is
MN
Minnesota 2025-2026 Regular Session
Press Conference: Senate Majority Leader Erin Murphy Media Availability - 03/26/26
Transcript Highlights:
- Senator Marty is carrying a bill dealing with prediction markets, and I think we'll see action on those
- Senator Marty is carrying a bill dealing with prediction markets, and I think we'll see action on those
- Senator Marty is carrying a bill dealing with prediction markets, and I think we'll see action on those
- Senator Marty is carrying a bill dealing with prediction markets, and I think we'll see action on those
Summary:
Senate leadership said members were working through a fast-paced, intense session before a break, with many committee hearings still scheduled and about 27 bills expected to be heard that day. The leader highlighted several priorities for when lawmakers return, including an independent Inspector General proposal, additional anti-fraud measures, and packages on gun violence prevention and the Metro Surge response. The Metro Surge package was described as roughly 11 bills dealing with masks in essential spaces, aid obligations for federal agents, civil-rights/Bivens issues, and BCA participation in investigations; the broader gun violence package includes school safety, mental health, an assault-weapons ban, and a ban on high-capacity magazines, though it still awaited Finance Committee action. The leader also said bonding remains a high priority and that the Senate plans to continue moving policy quickly after the break.
On budget matters, the leader said supplemental funding is needed for Capitol and Senate building security, largely because of increased personnel and overtime costs. He also said HCMC needs a short-term financing step because it is under financial pressure, but that the issue points to broader instability in Minnesota’s hospital system, especially as other hospitals may face difficulties related to HR1. Other budget-related items mentioned included housing support, rental and heating assistance, energy assistance, small business aid, health care, and food support, with some governor-proposed tax and spending ideas possibly left out because they are not affordable.
The leader said the Senate is still working on fraud legislation, including the Inspector General proposal and related enforcement and oversight measures, and expects House differences to be worked out in conference committee. He described the House as a question mark and said the two chambers are moving at different paces, but he hopes to resolve differences and send bills to the governor. He also noted a rough end to the Senate Jobs Committee, said Senator Champion is considering next steps, and said Senator Mohamed and other DFL members had sent the Attorney General’s anti-fraud bill through a different committee path. He added that legislator safety is a growing concern because members from both parties are receiving threats, and he is working with counsel on possible responses. On guns in the Capitol, he said the issue reflects broader divisions and that current law allows permitted carry after screening, though he is frustrated by those using the issue to provoke emotion.
NM
New Mexico 2025 Regular Session
IC - Transportation Infrastructure Revenue Subcommitee Aug 21st, 2025
Transcript Highlights:
- Can a weatherman, like say there's an awesome weatherman, predict it?
- So I think Captain Reed said the other day that the weather can predict it.
- then there are some of these rain events that just push the dust in front of them; those can't be predicted
- If it's just watching all of the stars and the moon and all that kind of stuff, they can predict some
- Once the monsoon season arrives, the Weather Service cannot predict any time frame for us.
KY
Kentucky 2025 Regular Session
Interim Joint Committee on Transportation (8-18-25)
Transcript Highlights:
- revenue came in 3.5% below estimate, while motor vehicle usage performed almost 11% stronger than predicted
- almost 11% vehicle usage performed almost 11% stronger<00:04:40.240>
than <00:04:40.479>predicted - <00:04:41.840>
Other <00:04:42.160>receipts stronger than predicted. - Other receipts stronger than predicted.
- sharing to distribute to the Formula Fs, and that didn't go out because the receipts were less than predicted
Summary:
The committee met on Transportation, approved the prior meeting minutes, and received a road fund update from Transportation Cabinet officials Mike Hancock, Sean McCernan, and Ron Rigney. McCernan reported that FY 2024-2025 road fund revenue came in $38.5 million above the enacted estimate, but was about $11 million below FY24 because of a lower motor fuels tax rate. He said motor vehicle usage tax receipts were stronger than expected, and that the road fund ended the year with a $61.6 million surplus account that, under the budget bill, must be appropriated to state construction.
Members focused heavily on how declining motor fuels receipts affect the formula funds that support cities, counties, and rural/secondary roads. Hancock and McCernan explained that lower gas tax receipts reduce both the road plan and revenue sharing, while higher vehicle sales tax receipts from motor vehicle usage go directly to the road fund and do not help the formula distributions. They also said fuel efficiency, hybrid and electric vehicle trends, and the removal of a prior hybrid fee all affect revenue collections. On tolling, officials said Louisville bridge toll revenues are covering bills and commitments, but they did not have the latest collection figures in front of them and said they would provide them later.
The committee also asked about project delivery delays, right-of-way acquisition, disaster recovery work, annual contract awards, cash management, and overprogramming in the highway plan. Officials said project delays often stem from right-of-way purchases, utility relocation, and the large volume of projects in the plan, and described the process as a “duck paddling” situation with substantial work happening behind the scenes. They said FY25 contract awards were already just under $998 million by the July letting and expected to exceed last year’s total, and explained that cash balances are managed so they do not fall below $100 million; the current balance was said to be about $166 million. No further votes or formal actions were taken beyond approving the minutes.
VT
OK
Oklahoma 2026 Regular Session
House of Representatives Second Regular Session of the 60th Legislature Day 30 Mar 26th, 2026 at 09:30 am
Oklahoma House Floor Meeting
Transcript Highlights:
- Again, is there any way in your study of this in your work to predict what that means on a county-by-county
- It's going to replace it with the Industry supported model 1 million a year from an adjustment in the
US
US Federal 2025-2026 Regular Session
Hearings to examine the posture of the United States European Command and United States Africa Command in review of the Defense Authorization Request for fiscal year 2026 and the Future Years Defense Program; to be immediately followed by a closed he Apr 3rd, 2025 at 08:30 am
Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Personnel
Transcript Highlights:
- invasion to being an organized force that is increasingly able to generate force in a reliable and predictable
- You both have been frank, informative, dedicated, and really models of public. service, and I wish you
Summary:
The committee convened to discuss various bills and hear testimonies related to legislative matters, including public concerns and implications surrounding the proposed legislation. Notably, the members engaged in a vigorous debate over SB4, where several representatives shared differing viewpoints on its impact on local communities and the environment. Public testimonies were heard, with advocates arguing for the bill's potential benefits, while opponents raised significant concerns regarding the fiscal implications and land use. Following these discussions, the committee moved to vote on HB2214, which passed without issue, illustrating the bipartisan support for certain initiatives tied to public welfare.
TX
Transcript Highlights:
- successful, the time has come to examine a different funding mechanism to provide more consistency and predictability
- As you heard from Ross Perot Jr. last October, Hillwood's Alliance Texas is becoming a model for attracting
Keywords:
Texas, moving image industry, incentive program, film production, grant funding, job creation, economic development, youth camp, summer camp, camp safety, emergency operations plan, emergency preparedness, evacuation drill, camp staff training, volunteer training, camper safety, lost camper, natural disaster, fire safety, mass casualty
FL
Florida 2025 Regular Session
Judiciary Mar 25th, 2025
FL
Florida 2025 Regular Session
March 20, 2025 - 08:30 AM
Transcript Highlights:
- but it's creating economic turmoil, where our markets have been fluctuating because there's no predictability
- I just think that the approach and the mimicking of what I would argue is not a model for us to be inspired
Summary:
The committee heard and approved several measures. HB 735 expanded Florida’s boating improvement program to fund parking for boat trailers at public ramps and offered a 10% sovereign submerged land lease discount for manufacturers using environmental best management practices; it passed unanimously. HB 4021 expanded the North River Ranch Improvement Stewardship District in Manatee County by 640 acres and was reported favorably. CS for HB 371, which promotes nature-based methods and green/gray infrastructure for coastal resilience, also passed unanimously after supportive testimony from resilience and environmental groups and committee members.
The committee then took up HJR 1325, a proposed constitutional amendment to create an elected Commissioner of Government Efficiency (COGE) with authority to audit, investigate, and report on waste, fraud, and abuse in state and local government. The proposal would eliminate the lieutenant governor position, the Government Efficiency Task Force, and the legislature’s current auditor appointment, with many implementation details deferred to a future bill. Members debated the scope of the new office, its relationship to the Auditor General and inspectors general, whether it should cover the legislative and judicial branches, staffing, and the comparison to federal DOGE efforts. An amendment making a minor wording change was adopted, and the resolution passed 23-? with a favorable report after a split vote.
The committee also approved two Gulf of America bills. HB 575 redesignated the Gulf of Mexico as the Gulf of America, and CS for HB 549 required Florida’s academic standards and newly adopted instructional materials to reflect the federal designation for materials acquired on or after July 1, 2025. Both measures drew criticism from members who argued the renaming was politically motivated, historically insensitive, and potentially confusing for students, while supporters said Florida should align with federal action. HB 575 passed and CS for HB 549 passed 18-7. Finally, HB 4071, a local bill adjusting the boundary between Coral Springs and Parkland in Broward County by about 8.7 acres, was amended and reported favorably with support from both cities and the Broward delegation.
TX
Texas 89th Regular
Homeland Security, Public Safety & Veterans' Affairs Mar 12th, 2025
Homeland Security, Public Safety & Veterans' Affairs
Transcript Highlights:
- Guidelines and model policies were created and disseminated for law enforcement agencies to adopt.
- enforcement, cartels. and smuggling organizations exploit these jurisdictional constraints to establish predictable
Keywords:
firearm acquisition, gun smuggling, criminal offenses, ammunition, terrorism, public safety, Texas criminal procedure, federal law enforcement, state arrest authority, search and seizure, felony offenses, federal air marshal, Transportation Security Administration, Department of Defense police, military police, Homeland Security, Public Safety, veterans affairs, federal officers, joint law enforcement authority
TX
Transcript Highlights:
- technical assistance support already required. in the bill, it explicitly directs TEA to develop a model
- And it was just one of those things you don't predict, you hope you never go through, but at the same
Keywords:
teacher compensation, education funding, public school educators, teacher retention, teacher designation, lottery, gambling, internet gaming, mobile application, criminal offenses, aquifer, water management, Edwards Aquifer, sustainability, regulatory framework, SB 565, Texas Water Code, TCEQ, Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, compliance agreement